Sports

Pro Baseball Home Runs Leader — Will Aaron Judge lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?

15.8%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range14.0pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Kalshi
19¢
bid 15¢ · ask 22¢
24h vol $1,666
Trade on Kalshi
Best price
Polymarket
bid · ask
24h vol $395
Trade on Polymarket

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'MLB: Home Runs Leader' ↔ 'Pro Baseball Home Runs Leader' (score 0.57, outcome match 0.56).

Kalshi ticker
KXLEADERMLBHR-26-AJUD
Resolves 10/22/2026
Polymarket condition
0x747ce3878b961229
Resolves 10/11/2026
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