Macro
CPI core in July — Will CPI Core rise more than 0.6% in July? — Above 0.6%
3.1%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range3.2pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Core CPI MoM - July 2026' ↔ 'CPI core in July' (score 0.80, outcome match 0.43, llm=uncertain).
Kalshi ticker
KXCPICORE-26JUL-T0.6
Resolves 8/12/2026
Polymarket condition
0xab285be97251f406…
Resolves 8/12/2026
Pro
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