Other
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? — Above 200
4.5%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range4.0pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'How many SpaceX launches in 2026?' ↔ 'How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?' (score 1.00, outcome match 0.50).
Kalshi ticker
KXSPACEXCOUNT-26B-200
Resolves 1/1/2027
Polymarket condition
0xec9e92f27a98bc29…
Resolves 12/31/2026
Pro
Order book depth, real-time dislocation alerts, correlated markets, and cross-venue portfolio margin — coming soon.