Health / Science
Measles cases in 2026? — Will there be more than 3000 measles cases in 2026? — Above 3000
78.7%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range7.0pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?' ↔ 'Measles cases in 2026?' (score 1.00, outcome match 0.50).
Kalshi ticker
KXMEASLES-26-3000
Resolves 1/1/2027
Polymarket condition
0xe815a6ed1772fcd0…
Resolves 12/31/2026
Pro
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