Other
Berlin State Election — Will AfD win the 2026 Berlin state election?
24.9%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range4.8pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Berlin State Election Winner' ↔ 'Berlin State Election' (score 0.60, outcome match 0.50).
Kalshi ticker
KXBERLINSTATE-26SEP20-AFD
Resolves 9/20/2027
Polymarket condition
0x8aaaca6ea5c037d3…
Resolves 9/20/2026
Pro
Order book depth, real-time dislocation alerts, correlated markets, and cross-venue portfolio margin — coming soon.