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Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court? — Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court before Jan 1, 2027?

25.0%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range2.0pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
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Kalshi
27¢
bid 25¢ · ask 29¢
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Best price
Polymarket
25¢
bid 24¢ · ask 26¢
24h vol $1,508
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Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?' ↔ 'Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court?' (score 0.50, outcome match 0.50, llm=uncertain).

Kalshi ticker
KXDEMORAESOUT-26SEP-27JAN01
Resolves 1/1/2027
Polymarket condition
0xae515ea2b1b95486
Resolves 12/31/2026
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