Politics / 2028

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Who will win the next presidential election? — Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

5.8%volume-weighted implied probability

YES price range2.2pp dislocation

0%50%100%

Kalshi Polymarket

Kalshi

7¢

bid 7¢ · ask 7¢

24h vol $9,394

Best price

Polymarket

5¢

bid 5¢ · ask 5¢

24h vol $10,245

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Presidential Election Winner 2028' ↔ '2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?' (score 1.00, outcome match 0.80).

Kalshi ticker

KXPRESPERSON-28-AOCA

Resolves 11/7/2029

Polymarket condition

0xf232b565995e4b3a…

Resolves 11/7/2028

Pro

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