Sports

2026 Men's Norway Chess Winner — Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2026 Men's Norway Chess?

19.7%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range2.2pp dislocation
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P
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Kalshi Polymarket
Kalshi
21¢
bid 20¢ · ask 21¢
24h vol $7,908
Trade on Kalshi
Best price
Polymarket
18¢
bid 17¢ · ask 20¢
24h vol $4,272
Trade on Polymarket

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Norway Chess 2026: Winner' ↔ '2026 Men's Norway Chess Winner' (score 0.80, outcome match 1.00).

Kalshi ticker
KXCHESSNORWAY-26-AFIR
Resolves 6/20/2026
Polymarket condition
0x0fb1ed3e6399b856
Resolves 6/6/2026
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