Entertainment
Emmy winner: Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series — Will Allison Janney win Drama Supporting Actress at the Emmy Awards?
Heads up: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve this market 365 days apart — the price difference may reflect different time horizons rather than a genuine arbitrage opportunity.
4.9%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range2.3pp dislocation
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P
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Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series' ↔ 'Emmy winner: Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series' (score 0.46, outcome match 0.60).
Kalshi ticker
KXEMMYDSACTR-26SEP14-ALL
Resolves 9/14/2027
Polymarket condition
0x358a06cfde160616…
Resolves 9/14/2026
Pro
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