Politics / Elections
Mississauga mayoral election winner? — Will Alvin Tedjo win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?
Heads up: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve this market 364 days apart — the price difference may reflect different time horizons rather than a genuine arbitrage opportunity.
17.8%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range16.3pp dislocation
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P
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Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history
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Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Mississauga Mayoral Election Winner' ↔ 'Mississauga mayoral election winner?' (score 0.80, outcome match 1.00, llm=uncertain).
Kalshi ticker
KXMISSISSAUGAMAYOR-26OCT26-ATED
Resolves 10/26/2027
Polymarket condition
0x513eadb7fd5e26ba…
Resolves 10/27/2026
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