Other

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? — Yes

36.0%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range4.0pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history
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Best price
Kalshi
34¢
bid 33¢ · ask 34¢
24h vol $447
Trade on Kalshi
Polymarket
38¢
bid 37¢ · ask 38¢
24h vol $734
Trade on Polymarket

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?' ↔ 'Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?' (score 0.62, outcome match 0.83, llm=same).

Kalshi ticker
KXLEAVEOPEC-27
Resolves 1/1/2027
Polymarket condition
0x3d4a1a3e0581eb60
Resolves 12/31/2026
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