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What will PayPal say during their next earnings call? — What will PayPal Holdings, Inc. say during their next earnings call? — Anthropic / Claude

Heads up: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve this market 156 days apart — the price difference may reflect different time horizons rather than a genuine arbitrage opportunity.

26.0%volume-weighted implied probability

YES price range16.5pp dislocation

0%50%100%

Kalshi Polymarket

Best price

Kalshi

26¢

bid 24¢ · ask 28¢

24h vol $13

Trade on Kalshi →

Polymarket

43¢

bid 1¢ · ask 84¢

Trade on Polymarket →

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'What will PayPal say during their next earnings call?' ↔ 'What will PayPal say during their next earnings call?' (score 0.62, outcome match 0.50).

Kalshi ticker

KXEARNINGSMENTIONPYPL-26JUL28-ANTH

Resolves 12/31/2026

Polymarket condition

0x907703d58a9e1834…

Resolves 7/28/2026

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