Other

Which companies will the US take a stake in this year? — Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Anthropic?

23.0%volume-weighted implied probability

YES price range6.0pp dislocation

0%50%100%

Kalshi Polymarket

7-day price history Kalshi Polymarket

Kalshi

23¢

bid 22¢ · ask 24¢

24h vol $113

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Best price

Polymarket

17¢

bid 15¢ · ask 19¢

Trade on Polymarket →

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Which companies will the US take a stake in?' ↔ 'Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?' (score 0.50, outcome match 0.43).

Kalshi ticker

KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-ANTH

Resolves 1/1/2027

Polymarket condition

0x3445836e43dca814…

Resolves 12/31/2026

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