Other

Which companies will the US take a stake in this year? — Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in GlobalFoundries?

73.3%volume-weighted implied probability

YES price range6.9pp dislocation

0%50%100%

Kalshi Polymarket

7-day price history Kalshi Polymarket

Best price

Kalshi

73¢

bid 69¢ · ask 77¢

24h vol $831

Trade on Kalshi →

Polymarket

80¢

bid 78¢ · ask 81¢

24h vol $40

Trade on Polymarket →

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Which companies will the US take a stake in?' ↔ 'Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?' (score 0.50, outcome match 0.43).

Kalshi ticker

KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-GFS

Resolves 1/1/2027

Polymarket condition

0x29de69eea09afcb0…

Resolves 12/31/2026

Pro

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