Other

Which companies will the US take a stake in this year? — Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Lockheed Martin?

16.5%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range8.0pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history Kalshi Polymarket
Best price
Kalshi
13¢
bid 11¢ · ask 14¢
Trade on Kalshi
Polymarket
21¢
bid 16¢ · ask 25¢
Trade on Polymarket

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Which companies will the US take a stake in?' ↔ 'Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?' (score 0.50, outcome match 0.50).

Kalshi ticker
KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-LMT
Resolves 1/1/2027
Polymarket condition
0x063bcc769a02477c
Resolves 12/31/2026
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