Other

Which companies will the US take a stake in this year? — Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Boeing?

14.0%volume-weighted implied probability

YES price range7.0pp dislocation

0%50%100%

Kalshi Polymarket

7-day price history Kalshi Polymarket

Best price

Kalshi

10¢

bid 8¢ · ask 12¢

24h vol $266

Trade on Kalshi →

Polymarket

17¢

bid 13¢ · ask 21¢

24h vol $355

Trade on Polymarket →

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Which companies will the US take a stake in?' ↔ 'Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?' (score 0.50, outcome match 0.43).

Kalshi ticker

KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-BA

Resolves 1/1/2027

Polymarket condition

0x6e2c5a9e54e6eead…

Resolves 12/31/2026

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