Other
Which companies will the US take a stake in this year? — Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in IonQ?
16.0%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range4.0pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history
Sign up free to see how prices have moved
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Which companies will the US take a stake in?' ↔ 'Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?' (score 0.50, outcome match 0.43, llm=uncertain).
Kalshi ticker
KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-IONQ
Resolves 1/1/2027
Polymarket condition
0x3e318837fa58267e…
Resolves 12/31/2026
Pro
Order book depth, real-time dislocation alerts, correlated markets, and cross-venue portfolio margin — coming soon.