Other

Which companies will the US take a stake in this year? — Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Unusual Machines?

42.5%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range27.0pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history
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Best price
Kalshi
29¢
bid 11¢ · ask 47¢
Trade on Kalshi
Polymarket
56¢
bid 26¢ · ask 86¢
Trade on Polymarket

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Which companies will the US take a stake in?' ↔ 'Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?' (score 0.50, outcome match 0.57, llm=uncertain).

Kalshi ticker
KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-UMAC
Resolves 1/1/2027
Polymarket condition
0x226949fb597b5675
Resolves 12/31/2026
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