Other

Which companies will the US take a stake in this year? — Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Unusual Machines?

38.0%volume-weighted implied probability

YES price range16.0pp dislocation

0%50%100%

Kalshi Polymarket

Best price

Kalshi

30¢

bid 3¢ · ask 57¢

Trade on Kalshi →

Polymarket

46¢

bid 6¢ · ask 86¢

Trade on Polymarket →

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Which companies will the US take a stake in?' ↔ 'Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?' (score 0.50, outcome match 0.57).

Kalshi ticker

KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-UMAC

Resolves 1/1/2027

Polymarket condition

0x226949fb597b5675…

Resolves 12/31/2026

Pro

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