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Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026 — Will Bank of Canada overnight rate on December 31, 2026 be exactly 2.50%?

64.3%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range23.5pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history
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Best price
Kalshi
45¢
bid 42¢ · ask 48¢
24h vol $115
Trade on Kalshi →
Polymarket
69¢
bid 64¢ · ask 73¢
24h vol $525
Trade on Polymarket →

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?' ↔ 'Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026' (score 0.57, outcome match 0.40, llm=uncertain).

Kalshi ticker
KXCANOREOY-26DEC31-E2.50
Resolves 1/1/2027
Polymarket condition
0x22679bf61a35842e…
Resolves 1/1/2027
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