Geopolitics

Bank of Russia rate decision in September — Will Bank of Russia Cut 25bps at the September Bank of Russia Board of Directors’ key rate meeting?

37.5%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range13.0pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Best price
Kalshi
25¢
bid 21¢ · ask 28¢
Trade on Kalshi
Polymarket
38¢
bid 37¢ · ask 38¢
24h vol $439
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Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Bank of Russia decision in September?' ↔ 'Bank of Russia rate decision in September' (score 0.50, outcome match 0.43, llm=uncertain).

Kalshi ticker
KXCBDECISIONRUSSIA-26SEP11-C25
Resolves 9/11/2026
Polymarket condition
0x918fb0abb506dd05
Resolves 9/11/2026
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