Geopolitics

Bank of Russia rate decision in September — Will Bank of Russia Cut 50bps at the September Bank of Russia Board of Directors’ key rate meeting?

35.0%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range31.0pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
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35¢
bid 34¢ · ask 36¢
24h vol $1,369
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Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Bank of Russia decision in September?' ↔ 'Bank of Russia rate decision in September' (score 0.50, outcome match 0.43, llm=uncertain).

Kalshi ticker
KXCBDECISIONRUSSIA-26SEP11-C50
Resolves 9/11/2026
Polymarket condition
0x918fb0abb506dd05
Resolves 9/11/2026
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