Geopolitics

Bank of Russia rate decision in September — Will Bank of Russia Cut more than 50bps at the September Bank of Russia Board of Directors’ key rate meeting?

21.5%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range28.5pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Kalshi
50¢
bid · ask 99¢
Trade on Kalshi
Best price
Polymarket
22¢
bid 17¢ · ask 26¢
24h vol $3,006
Trade on Polymarket

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Bank of Russia decision in September?' ↔ 'Bank of Russia rate decision in September' (score 0.50, outcome match 0.43).

Kalshi ticker
KXCBDECISIONRUSSIA-26SEP11-C50P
Resolves 9/11/2026
Polymarket condition
0x918fb0abb506dd05
Resolves 9/11/2026
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