Sports

UCL — Champions League Winner — Will Bayern Munich win the Champions League?

13.5%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range4.6pp dislocation
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Kalshi Polymarket
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Kalshi
14¢
bid 13¢ · ask 14¢
24h vol $2,070
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Polymarket
9¢
bid 1¢ · ask 17¢
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Mapping notes

Event pair: 'UEFA Women's Champions League 2026-27 Winner' ↔ 'Champions League Winner' (score 0.62, outcome match 1.00, llm=uncertain).

Kalshi ticker
KXUCL-27-BMU
Resolves 6/19/2027
Polymarket condition
0x8a30d7c31bcf3221…
Resolves 5/31/2027
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