Politics / Elections

Will Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess? — Will Senate vote on CLARITY Act? — Before Aug 8, 2026

37.3%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range15.0pp dislocation
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Kalshi Polymarket
Best price
Kalshi
37¢
bid 36¢ · ask 38¢
24h vol $30,407
Trade on Kalshi
Polymarket
52¢
bid 15¢ · ask 89¢
24h vol $530
Trade on Polymarket

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess?' ↔ 'Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess?' (score 0.88, outcome match 0.78, llm=uncertain).

Kalshi ticker
KXCLARITYVOTE-26JUL-AUG08
Resolves 8/8/2026
Polymarket condition
0xa39c931df392ec40
Resolves 8/8/2026
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