Sports

Pro Baseball: 40+ Home Run Season — Will Ben Rice record 40+ home runs during 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?

77.0%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Best price
Kalshi
76¢
bid 69¢ · ask 84¢
Trade on Kalshi
Polymarket
78¢
bid 75¢ · ask 80¢
Trade on Polymarket

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs' ↔ 'Pro Baseball: 40+ Home Run Season' (score 0.50, outcome match 0.83, llm=uncertain).

Kalshi ticker
KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40-BRICE22
Resolves 10/3/2026
Polymarket condition
0x30a0fdc42628486b
Resolves 10/11/2026
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