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Who will be arrested before 2027? — Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before Jan 2027?

10.4%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range13.6pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Best price
Kalshi
10¢
bid · ask 12¢
24h vol $101
Trade on Kalshi
Polymarket
24¢
bid · ask 44¢
Trade on Polymarket

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Who will be arrested before 2027?' ↔ 'Who will be arrested before 2027?' (score 0.75, outcome match 0.67).

Kalshi ticker
KXARREST-27JAN-BNET
Resolves 1/1/2027
Polymarket condition
0x47027f725e288491
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