Crypto

Will Bitcoin outperform gold in 2026?

22.7%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range3.8pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Best price
Kalshi
21¢
bid 19¢ · ask 23¢
24h vol $607
Trade on Kalshi
Polymarket
25¢
bid 24¢ · ask 25¢
24h vol $679
Trade on Polymarket

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?' ↔ 'Will Bitcoin outperform gold in 2026?' (score 1.00, outcome match 1.00, llm=same).

Kalshi ticker
KXBTCVSGOLD-26
Resolves 1/1/2027
Polymarket condition
0xdcae9573d5680a2c
Resolves 1/1/2027
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