Other

Who will be arrested before 2027? — Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before Jan 2027?

7.6%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range4.7pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Best price
Kalshi
bid · ask
Trade on Kalshi
Polymarket
10¢
bid · ask 18¢
Trade on Polymarket

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Who will be arrested before 2027?' ↔ 'Who will be arrested before 2027?' (score 0.75, outcome match 0.67).

Kalshi ticker
KXARREST-27JAN-BJOH
Resolves 1/1/2027
Polymarket condition
0x950ae84dd0900bc6
Pro
Order book depth, real-time dislocation alerts, correlated markets, and cross-venue portfolio margin — coming soon.