Sports
NFL — Defensive Player of the Year Winner? — Will Brian Burns win the Defensive Player of the Year?
Heads up: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve this market 362 days apart — the price difference may reflect different time horizons rather than a genuine arbitrage opportunity.
1.8%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range2.5pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history
Sign up free to see how prices have moved
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Defensive Player of the Year Winner' ↔ 'Defensive Player of the Year Winner?' (score 0.67, outcome match 0.60, llm=same).
Kalshi ticker
KXNFLDPOTY-27-BBUR
Resolves 2/8/2028
Polymarket condition
0xf3cf6e27b2474f82…
Resolves 2/11/2027
Pro
Order book depth, real-time dislocation alerts, correlated markets, and cross-venue portfolio margin — coming soon.