Politics / Elections

MI-07 Democratic nominee? — Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?

Heads up: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve this market 457 days apart — the price difference may reflect different time horizons rather than a genuine arbitrage opportunity.
17.0%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history Kalshi Polymarket
Kalshi
17¢
bid 16¢ · ask 18¢
24h vol $9,342
Trade on Kalshi
Best price
Polymarket
16¢
bid 15¢ · ask 16¢
24h vol $96
Trade on Polymarket

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner' ↔ 'MI-07 Democratic nominee?' (score 0.50, outcome match 1.00).

Kalshi ticker
KXMIPRIMARY-07D26-BBRI
Resolves 11/3/2027
Polymarket condition
0xd2d7b77caa7e513d
Resolves 8/4/2026
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