Other

PFA Player of the Year? — Who will win Players' Player of the Year? — Bruno Fernandes

Heads up: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve this market 487 days apart — the price difference may reflect different time horizons rather than a genuine arbitrage opportunity.

79.3%volume-weighted implied probability

YES price range4.0pp dislocation

0%50%100%

Kalshi Polymarket

7-day price history Kalshi Polymarket

Best price

Kalshi

76¢

bid 75¢ · ask 76¢

24h vol $31

Trade on Kalshi →

Polymarket

80¢

bid 79¢ · ask 80¢

24h vol $529

Trade on Polymarket →

Mapping notes

Event pair: '2025-2026 PFA Players' Player of the Year Winner' ↔ 'PFA Player of the Year?' (score 0.62, outcome match 1.00).

Kalshi ticker

KXPFAPOY-2526-BFER

Resolves 12/31/2027

Polymarket condition

0x9ffabb8a14052492…

Resolves 8/31/2026

Pro

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