Sports

Pro Baseball: 40+ Home Run Season — Will Bryce Harper record 40+ home runs during 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?

16.8%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range20.5pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Kalshi
27¢
bid · ask 54¢
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Polymarket
bid · ask 10¢
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Mapping notes

Event pair: 'MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs' ↔ 'Pro Baseball: 40+ Home Run Season' (score 0.50, outcome match 0.83, llm=uncertain).

Kalshi ticker
KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40-BHARPER3
Resolves 10/3/2026
Polymarket condition
0x99758a6ae600f905
Resolves 10/11/2026
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