Other
Berlin State Election — Will BSW win the 2026 Berlin state election?
0.2%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range2.9pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Berlin State Election Winner' ↔ 'Berlin State Election' (score 0.60, outcome match 0.50).
Kalshi ticker
KXBERLINSTATE-26SEP20-BSW
Resolves 9/20/2027
Polymarket condition
0x04941dd5ebc58418…
Resolves 9/20/2026
Pro
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