Sports
NFL — Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner? — Will Caleb Downs win the Defensive Rookie of the Year?
Heads up: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve this market 364 days apart — the price difference may reflect different time horizons rather than a genuine arbitrage opportunity.
4.0%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range
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Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history
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Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner' ↔ 'Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner?' (score 0.67, outcome match 0.60, llm=same).
Kalshi ticker
KXNFLDROTY-27-CDOW
Resolves 2/28/2028
Polymarket condition
0x36c1f1a8faba783c…
Resolves 3/1/2027
Pro
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