Politics / Elections
Mississauga mayoral election winner? — Will Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?
Heads up: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve this market 364 days apart — the price difference may reflect different time horizons rather than a genuine arbitrage opportunity.
46.1%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range
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P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history
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Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Mississauga Mayoral Election Winner' ↔ 'Mississauga mayoral election winner?' (score 0.80, outcome match 1.00, llm=same).
Kalshi ticker
KXMISSISSAUGAMAYOR-26OCT26-CPAR
Resolves 10/26/2027
Polymarket condition
0x198b9e40e6d70e2b…
Resolves 10/27/2026
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