Entertainment
Emmy winner: Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series — Will Carrie Coon win Drama Actress at the Emmy Awards?
Heads up: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve this market 365 days apart — the price difference may reflect different time horizons rather than a genuine arbitrage opportunity.
0.7%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range
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0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series' ↔ 'Emmy winner: Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series' (score 0.46, outcome match 0.50).
Kalshi ticker
KXEMMYDACTR-26SEP14-CAR
Resolves 9/14/2027
Polymarket condition
0xb4166539821ea27a…
Resolves 9/14/2026
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