Politics

What will Marco Rubio say during Fox News: My View with Lara Trump? — Ceasefire

42.1%volume-weighted implied probability

YES price range4.0pp dislocation

0%50%100%

Kalshi Polymarket

Kalshi

43¢

bid 42¢ · ask 44¢

24h vol $4,915

Trade on Kalshi →

Best price

Polymarket

39¢

bid 20¢ · ask 58¢

24h vol $1,374

Trade on Polymarket →

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'What will Marco Rubio say on Fox News: My View?' ↔ 'What will Marco Rubio say during Fox News: My View with Lara Trump?' (score 0.70, outcome match 0.50, llm=uncertain).

Kalshi ticker

KXFOXNEWSMENTION-26AUG01-CEAS

Resolves 8/16/2026

Polymarket condition

0x6e479e58087247a5…

Resolves 8/1/2026

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