Politics / Elections
CA-45 primary: Who will advance? — Will Chi Charlie Nguyen advance in the 2026 CA-45 primary?
10.0%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range33.5pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'CA-45 Primary Winners' ↔ 'CA-45 primary: Who will advance?' (score 0.60, outcome match 0.60).
Kalshi ticker
KXCAPRIMARY-4526-CNGU
Resolves 11/3/2027
Polymarket condition
0x57536d59bbf8b75b…
Resolves 6/2/2026
Pro
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