Sports

46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament Winner — Will China win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?

26.2%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range10.5pp dislocation
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Kalshi Polymarket
Kalshi
31¢
bid · ask 57¢
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Best price
Polymarket
21¢
bid 13¢ · ask 29¢
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Mapping notes

Event pair: '46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament Winner' ↔ '46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament Winner' (score 0.88, outcome match 1.00, llm=uncertain).

Kalshi ticker
KXCHESSOLYMPIAD-26-CHN
Resolves 10/15/2026
Polymarket condition
0xd4117a71c5bad2a3
Resolves 9/28/2026
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