Entertainment

#1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Aug 15, 2026? — Will Choosin' Texas be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 15, 2026

83.2%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range32.0pp dislocation
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Kalshi Polymarket
Kalshi
84¢
bid 80¢ · ask 88¢
24h vol $2,713
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Best price
Polymarket
52¢
bid 17¢ · ask 87¢
24h vol $73
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Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of August 15' ↔ '#1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Aug 15, 2026?' (score 0.62, outcome match 0.40, llm=uncertain).

Kalshi ticker
KXTOPSONG-26AUG15-CHO
Resolves 8/10/2026
Polymarket condition
0xdcaaac569ce6e5c3
Resolves 8/11/2026
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