Politics / Elections
WI-07 Democratic nominee? — Will Chris Armstrong be the Democratic nominee for WI-07?
Heads up: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve this market 449 days apart — the price difference may reflect different time horizons rather than a genuine arbitrage opportunity.
7.9%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'WI-07 Democratic Primary Winner' ↔ 'WI-07 Democratic nominee?' (score 0.50, outcome match 1.00).
Kalshi ticker
KXWIPRIMARY-07D26-CARM
Resolves 11/3/2027
Polymarket condition
0xdf8ae1e3652561ce…
Resolves 8/11/2026
Pro
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