Politics / Elections
CA-45 primary: Who will advance? — Will Chuong Vo advance in the 2026 CA-45 primary?
56.0%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range17.0pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'CA-45 Primary Winners' ↔ 'CA-45 primary: Who will advance?' (score 0.60, outcome match 0.50).
Kalshi ticker
KXCAPRIMARY-4526-CVO
Resolves 11/3/2027
Polymarket condition
0x16fb3f08a2589239…
Resolves 6/2/2026
Pro
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