Other

Which companies will the US take a stake in this year? — Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in D-Wave? — D-Wave Quantum

81.5%volume-weighted implied probability

YES price range7.0pp dislocation

0%50%100%

Kalshi Polymarket

7-day price history Kalshi Polymarket

Kalshi

82¢

bid 74¢ · ask 89¢

24h vol $53

Trade on Kalshi →

Best price

Polymarket

75¢

bid 65¢ · ask 84¢

Trade on Polymarket →

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Which companies will the US take a stake in?' ↔ 'Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?' (score 0.50, outcome match 0.50).

Kalshi ticker

KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-QBTS

Resolves 1/1/2027

Polymarket condition

0xb8aa75c192ef213d…

Resolves 12/31/2026

Pro

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