Entertainment

Emmy winner: Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie — Will Dakota Fanning win Movie/Limited Supporting Actress at the Emmy Awards?

Heads up: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve this market 365 days apart — the price difference may reflect different time horizons rather than a genuine arbitrage opportunity.

1.3%volume-weighted implied probability

YES price range

0%50%100%

Kalshi Polymarket

7-day price history Kalshi Polymarket

Kalshi

3¢

bid 0¢ · ask 6¢

Trade on Kalshi →

Best price

Polymarket

1¢

bid 1¢ · ask 2¢

24h vol $150

Trade on Polymarket →

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie' ↔ 'Emmy winner: Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie ' (score 0.54, outcome match 0.43).

Kalshi ticker

KXEMMYLSACTR-26SEP14-DAK

Resolves 9/14/2027

Polymarket condition

0xd4ca615ff7f9a7c4…

Resolves 9/14/2026

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