Politics / Elections
Kentucky Republican Governor nominee? — Will Daniel Cameron be the Republican nominee for Governor in Kentucky?
Heads up: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve this market 364 days apart — the price difference may reflect different time horizons rather than a genuine arbitrage opportunity.
2.3%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history
Sign up free to see how prices have moved
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Kentucky Governor Republican Primary Winner (2027)' ↔ 'Kentucky Republican Governor nominee?' (score 0.57, outcome match 1.00, llm=uncertain).
Kalshi ticker
KXGOVKYNOMR-27-DCAM
Resolves 5/17/2028
Polymarket condition
0xd855df7e9d2dab2d…
Resolves 5/19/2027
Pro
Order book depth, real-time dislocation alerts, correlated markets, and cross-venue portfolio margin — coming soon.