Other
Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026? — Will Delcy Rodríguez de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
92.3%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range2.5pp dislocation
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Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history
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Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?' ↔ 'Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?' (score 0.71, outcome match 0.40, llm=uncertain).
Kalshi ticker
KXVENEZDEFACTO-27JAN01-DROD
Resolves 1/2/2027
Polymarket condition
0x354c604439d7aa5d…
Resolves 12/31/2026
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