Politics / Elections

CA-47 House winner? — Will Democratic win the House race for CA-47? — Democratic party

93.5%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range2.2pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Kalshi
96¢
bid 94¢ · ask 97¢
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Best price
Polymarket
94¢
bid 93¢ · ask 94¢
24h vol $544
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Mapping notes

Event pair: 'CA-47 House Election Winner' ↔ 'CA-47 House winner?' (score 0.67, outcome match 0.60).

Kalshi ticker
HOUSECA47-26-D
Resolves 11/3/2027
Polymarket condition
0x7f45dfc2b4d3a1e8
Resolves 11/3/2026
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