Politics / Elections
MN-07 House winner? — Will Democratic win the House race for MN-07? — Democratic party
Heads up: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve this market 366 days apart — the price difference may reflect different time horizons rather than a genuine arbitrage opportunity.
5.5%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range
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P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'MN-07 House Election Winner' ↔ 'MN-07 House winner?' (score 0.80, outcome match 0.60).
Kalshi ticker
KXHOUSERACE-MN07-26-D
Resolves 11/3/2027
Polymarket condition
0x53fb0e949bb1a622…
Resolves 11/3/2026
Pro
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