Politics / Elections
CA-45 primary: Who will advance? — Will Derek Tran advance in the 2026 CA-45 primary?
99.6%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'CA-45 Primary Winners' ↔ 'CA-45 primary: Who will advance?' (score 0.60, outcome match 0.50).
Kalshi ticker
KXCAPRIMARY-4526-DTRA
Resolves 11/3/2027
Polymarket condition
0x30548023f3059b27…
Resolves 6/2/2026
Pro
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