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Berlin State Election — Will Die Linke win the 2026 Berlin state election?

21.0%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range3.5pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Best price
Kalshi
18¢
bid 13¢ · ask 22¢
Trade on Kalshi
Polymarket
21¢
bid 20¢ · ask 22¢
24h vol $256
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Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Berlin State Election Winner' ↔ 'Berlin State Election' (score 0.60, outcome match 0.43).

Kalshi ticker
KXBERLINSTATE-26SEP20-DLIN
Resolves 9/20/2027
Polymarket condition
0xda4fbe6eec3d6cc6
Resolves 9/20/2026
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